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Casualty Estimation and Medical Resource Planning
  1. Colonel Martin CM Bricknell, L/RAMC, Medical Director1,
  2. FR Jones, Deputy Medical Director2 and
  3. JJ Hatzfeld, Senior Researcher3
  1. 1Headquarters Region Command (South), Operation HERRICK, BFPO 772
  2. 2Office of the Deputy Assistant to the Secretary of Defense for Chemical and Biological Defense and Chemical Demilitarization Programs, 3050 Defense Pentagon, Room 5B1064, Washington, DC 20301-3050
  3. 3Joint Combat Casualty Research Team, Task Force Medical - South, APO AE 09355
  1. HQ Land Forces, Army Medical Directorate, Ramillies Building, Marlborough Lines, Andover, Hampshire SP11 8 HJ martin{at}


This paper considers casualty estimation and the link between historical evidence and prospective forecasting of demand for medical resources. It considers the purpose of casualty estimation at each level in the chain of command, reviews the historical uses of casualty estimation and considers the methodological approaches to casualty estimation. The link between historical evidence and future planning is demonstrated, and the use of casualty estimation within the medical planning process is examined.

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